At 2:00pm on Monday, 24th August, forecasters from the National Hurricane Centre in Miami, said, “Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located about 950 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to show signs of organization.”
They add that the conditions appear favorable for development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression or a tropical storm during the next day or so while it moves westward near 20 mph.
There is also another, (a second), system that is coming off the Cape Verde Islands.
This tropical wave and associated low pressure area located near the Cape Verde Islands is accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development of this system while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the next few days.
It has a near 10% chance of formation through the next 48 hours. This tropical wave has become much better organized today, and there’s a good chances this disturbance will be upgraded to a tropical depression, possibly even a storm, later today or tomorrow.
Media reports quote weather experts in saying that “…the environment here in the Central Atlantic is somewhat favorable for tropical development, but once this features nears the Lesser Antilles, high wind shear and dry air will work to tear the system apart (similar to what Danny dealt with).”
Countries in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico have been asked to pay close attention to these two new developments as the busy 2015 season heats up. Late August and September are traditionally very active periods on the hurricane calendar.
The potential storms come just as the latest hurricane, Danny, disintegrated early Monday morning, sparing the Leeward Islands.