For most supporters of the opposition Concerned Citizens Movement, CCM, they claim that it does not matter when the poll is called nor the type; in any case, it is their view that the NRP would lose. This opinion however has been rebuffed by the NRP supporters, who are just as confident that their candidate would be successful and have issued the “friendly promise” that they are ready for them (CCM).
However, the only person at this time who may know the answer to the puzzle of the election date is Premier Joseph Parry, who has the responsibility to indicate to the Governor General, the timing and type of said poll. As all leaders in his position tend to do however, there is every expectation that Mr. Parry, who first became Premier in 2006, will keep his CCM critics guessing for as long as is practically possible. In any case he has only three months and if is not called in September, then the likelihood, some believe, it would be in late October because if not, the element of surprise would have vanished, if delayed until November. In any case, recognizing that opposition parties always find a way to discover the period when a ruling party may call an election, it is very likely also that the “secret” date would be of public knowledge not too long after the Premier would have settled on his date; and it may be the opposition party that publicly reveals said date, ahead of the official announcement.
In a public meeting on Friday 31st, August, 2012, Premier Parry gave a hint as to what type of elections he might be thinking about calling.
Speaking at a public meeting in Brownhill, in the St. John’s constituency, Parry indicated that a number of calls have been made for only a by-election, but he declared that every man and woman over the age of eighteen on the island of Nevis must make that decision. This therefore has been interpreted by some to mean that a general poll is preferred by the leader. But as one political commentator has opined this could be a greater risk for the NRP, given what some call, is an anti-incumbent mood in the island; as a consequence of the further division caused by the court ruling. They fear that the NRP may not only lose the seat in question, (St. John’s), but may also lose control of at least one other, that of St. Paul’s, currently held by NRP minister Robelto Hector. This however may be wishful thinking by the CCM because NRP strategists are already fancying their chances to not only hold tight to all their current seats, but pick up the St. James’ constituency, now held by the CCM’s Alexis Jeffers.
Parry made it clear that the constitution gives him the authority to “ring the bell” (call the election) on the island of Nevis, when it is his choosing. The NRP leader did indicate though that his decision is slightly delayed by his pending overseas travel commitments to discuss tourism related matters.
The premier has been heard reminding his followers that he needs Hensley Daniel with him in his Cabinet to continue the work that he has been doing in the ministries that the former Deputy Premier once supervised.
When the election in St. John’s was held on 11th July, 2011, Daniel was declared the winner of the seat by 14 votes, but this was immediately challenged by the opposition candidate, Mark Brantley of the CCM, claiming that there were too many irregularities that thwarted the will of the people. He was speaking to the fact that he was declared loser by 14 votes with 14 spoilt ballots counted and some 203 people in the constituency not being allowed to vote. The High court agreed with Brantley’s submissions but the NRP appealed and the Eastern Caribbean court of Appeal ruled that indeed the voters were disenfranchised and this had serious implications for the outcome. They therefore declared the election null and void and the seat vacant, paving the way for the by-election.