Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles…280 km mainly to the northeast and east of the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb…29.62 inches.
Rafael is expected to produce total rainfall of 3 to 5 inches…with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches…over the Lesser Antilles and the Virgin Islands. The rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides…especially in areas of mountainous terrain. 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected.
Dangerous surf conditions are possible in the Lesser Antilles and the Virgin Islands through today.
A storm surge of 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels is possible in areas of onshore flow in the warning area.